Wednesday, June, 03,2026

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Escalation of Iran-Israel conflict and India’s stakes

Iran - Israel proxy conflict was almost on brink of a military collision as Iran launched hundreds of drones and cruise missiles towards Israel in response to the strike in Iranian diplomatic building in Syrian capital of Damascus on April 1, 2024 which killed a senior member of the Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards, and eight other officers. The situation has worsened with the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, the political chief of Hamas by Israel while he was in Tehran attending the swearing-in ceremony of newly elected Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian. Iran has blamed Israel for the assassination and has threatened to take revenge. Israel has also stepped its defence preparations and trying to rope in the US against any direct attack by Iran or combined with the Hezbollah. In latest move the US has ordered its guided-missile submarine USS Georgia to the Middle East and the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group to speed up its voyage to the region. Iran and Israel have emerged from being friends to foes. The bitter hostility that prevails between the two nations did not exist until the Iranian revolution in 1979. The relationship has been on a downhill, from Cooperation to Conflict.

India has so far maintained a balanced approach on Hamas-Israel conflict as India has historical relations with Palestine and also has close ties with Israel. India has condemned Hamas attacks on Israel in Oct 2023, but did not support Israeli retaliatory action killing thousands of civilians and innocent people in the Gaza and Palestine. The direct entry of Hezbollah and Iran in the conflict has made things more complicated. The world is almost divided as pro and against Israel, with the US, and West with Israel and Russia, China and many Islamic countries with Hamas/ Iran. Though Russia and China haven’t been so vociferous in their pro Iranian stance but the US and the West have seen Iranian entry as a direct threat to the security of the region. India’s silence for another day on rising tensions between Iran and Israel over the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh reflects its dilemma in trying to balance ties with both countries.

Till the military confrontation remained restricted to Israel and Hamas clashes in the Gaza Strip, there were fewer worries about the regional implications of this conflict. But, the dynamics have changed with Iran’s increasing rhetoric and actions vis-à-vis Israel response. The regional security situation has deteriorated severely post assassination of Ismail Haniyeh and this has raised the prospects for an all-out war between Iran and Israel. The escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict has put India’s stakes in the West Asian region in danger. The region is witnessing intense war like preparations from both sides but the biggest suspense about the timings and methodology of Iranian action or retaliatory strike by Israel still keeps the environment guessing. India has expressed serious concern at the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict, and has called for immediate deescalation of the conflict.

INDIA’S STAKES LIKELY TO BE ENDANGERED IN CASE IRAN - ISRAEL CONFLICT ESCALATES

Lives and livelihoods of the large Indian Diaspora in West Asia, approx 18,000 Indians in Israel, 10,000 Indians in Iran, and around 9 million people Indians in the Gulf and Other West Asian region will be adversely affected. Escalation of conflict will require their immediate evacuation.

Disruption of India’s energy security (supply and prices) as this region contributes 80 % of oil supplies. A surge in oil prices would impact India’s economic growth, drive up inflationary pressures, and disrupt the balance of trade. Progress made on the IndiaMiddle-East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) will be derailed thus impacting India’s strategic as well as economic benefits.

The balance of Indian strategic ties both with Iran and Israel will be severely affected. It would be difficult for India to maintain an ambivalent position in case of further worsening of conflict.

India and Israel have significant trading partnership and Israel is a key defence equipment supplier. Both countries have now moved to bigger cooperation in energy, space and science and technology sectors. Israel has stood with India during crucial time of Kargil conflict and supports India on major global fora.

Iran has been one of the major suppliers of crude oil to India and both countries have shared concerns on terrorism emanating from Pakistan / Afghanistan. The Chabahar port of Iran developed by India is a strategic economic project, which acts as a gateway to Afghanistan and Central Asia. The only hiccup is that to Iran - India is a friend but Pakistan is like a brother.

The fast-changing geopolitical landscape of the world has left limited choices even for the nations that are not directly involved in the conflicts around the world. For India, it is a huge challenge to remain unaffected or neutral in the conflicts in Ukraine and Middle - East wherein, both sides are friends and have strategic relations with India. The emerging Israel-Iran conflict has put India on a bigger test of resilience in multiple domains be it political, diplomatic, economic or security.

The current situation of India’s neighbourhood is not so conducive as China and Pakistan continue create problems, the ongoing crisis in Myanmar and Bangladesh, diplomatic irritants with Maldives makes it imperative for India to avoid making choices for either side specially in the Middle East crisis. At best India can proactively engage with the US, Russia, Iran and Israel to ensure that this conflict is contained.

THE VIEWS EXPRESSED BY THE AUTHOR ARE PERSONAL

Col Rajesh Bhukar The writer is a Post Graduate in International Studies, Alumni of Defence Services Staff College, Wellington and College of Combat, Mhow

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Daily Astro

03-06-2026

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Aries

Ganesha says it will be an important day for you, Aries. Your energy and confidence are ready to take you to new heights. Today you will be able to express your thoughts with clarity, which will increase your communication skills. New opportunities may arise in the working areas, which you have to be ready to take advantage of. In social life, you can make new meetings, which will prove beneficial for you in the future. This day will be good for solving family issues, and you will be able to establish better relations with your close ones. In the field of health, take care of your routine and resort to yoga or meditation to relieve mental stress. Controlling your expenses will be a smart move, as any sudden financial need may arise. Overall, this day is for you to stay positive, just use your insight and energy properly.

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Pisces

Ganesha says it is going to be a positive day for you. Your sensitivity and intuition will flourish today, allowing you to establish better connections between yourself and others. It is time to connect with someone or refresh old memories. Try to communicate with people close to you, as it will strengthen your relationships. In the field of work, your creativity will be cyclical today. If you are working on a project, your ideas will be new and full of innovation. Do not be afraid to share your ideas, it will give you positive feedback from your colleagues. In terms of financial condition, avoid any big investments. Small expenses will prove to be justified but think well before making any big decisions for the long term. In terms of health, focus on a balanced diet and regular exercise. For mental health, practicing meditation or yoga will help keep you stress-free.

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Aquarius

Ganesha says new opportunities are likely to open up for you. You will be in a position to take your creative abilities to new heights. This is the time to share your ideas and make new plans. Your friends and family will support your ideas, so it will be beneficial to take their advice into account. Positive changes are possible in business. This is the right time to work on an important project. You will get an opportunity to use your skills and knowledge properly. But, be careful; in some cases, you will need to control your emotions. In personal life, relationships will deepen. You will try to spend more time with your loved ones. This is a good time for love and companionship. Enjoy emotional moments that will make your relationships stronger. Be health conscious. Dedication to yoga and meditation will give you mental peace. These activities will keep not only your body but also your mind active. Overall, today will be full of possibilities for you. Stay committed to your dreams and work on them.

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Capricorn

Ganesha says your day is full of some new possibilities. You will experience grace and stability in your actions. This is the time to focus on your goals and work with determination to pursue your plans. You are likely to get success in your work, especially if you maintain your hard work and dedication. Positive changes can also be seen in your relationships. You will get a chance to spend time with family and listen to them, which will increase mutual understanding and depth. Focus on communication, as it will make your relationships stronger. However, it is also time to make monthly plans. Take care of your financial matters and try to save. This is the time when you can take concrete steps for your future. Your health condition is likely to remain normal but take some rest. Maintaining a mental balance will be important for you. Stay positive and keep faith in your actions!

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Sagittarius

Ganesha says today will be full of new possibilities and positive energy for you. You will feel a rise in your confidence, which will keep you open to new opportunities. This is the right time to make an important decision. Your spirituality and intuition will be strong, which will enable you to understand and face difficulties. Spending time with friends and family will awaken a sense of happiness and satisfaction in your mind. Relationships with colleagues at work can take a new direction. Cooperation and communication will help solve problems. If you face an obstacle or challenge, remember that you can overcome it. In terms of health, you may need to make a little improvement in your routine. Regular exercise and a balanced diet will give you freshness and energy. Strengthening social relationships and contacting new people will also be beneficial today. This is the time for self-growth and positive change for you, so recognize the energy within you and use it properly.

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Scorpio

Ganesha says today will be full of enthusiasm and energy. You will move towards achieving your goals, and your hard work will pay off. Social life will also be active; you will get a good chance to spend time with friends and family. In terms of health, take a little caution. Focusing on meditation and exercise will help reduce mental stress. This is also a good time to take up a new hobby, which can unleash your creativity. Take wise steps in terms of money. Make informed decisions while investing. For potential financial gains, take a look at past projects again. Your career is showing good signs of progress. Your ideas may be appreciated at the workplace, which will increase your confidence. Still, some issues may require restraint. Overall, today will prove to be positive and auspicious for you. Spend it with pride with your loved ones.

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Libra

Ganesha says today will be a very auspicious and positive day. You will get a chance to clarify your thoughts, which will bring stability to your personal and professional relationships. Your communication skills will increase, and this will open the doors of new possibilities for you. Your creativity and aesthetic sense will be especially strong today. If you are associated with any art or design, your work will be appreciated. This is the right time to express your feelings. If you are confused about a decision, trust your intuition; it will show you the right path. In terms of health, small changes can make your life better. Focus on regular exercise and a balanced diet. In love and relationships, a new understanding will develop, which will strengthen the mutual bond even more. Overall, this day is a sign of positive changes and new beginnings for you. Stay focused on your goals and recognize your inner strengths.

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Virgo

Ganesha says today is a suitable day to highlight your cognitive abilities and business skills. Today, you will be full of clarity and precision in your actions, which will increase your value among your colleagues and superiors. There is a possibility of bringing some changes to your routine, which will bring positive results for you. This is a good time to improve relations with family members. Try to resolve any old disputes, and keep communication open. In terms of health, meditation and yoga will bring mental peace. Also, take some time out of your routine for exercise. From a financial point of view, this is the right time to make a good plan for the right investment. Take a good look at the options available to you and make a wise decision. Overall, today will prove to be a day of new possibilities and positive changes for you. Be full of confidence and stay focused on your goals.

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Leo

Ganesha says today will be a day full of energy and inspiration. Your confidence will increase and your thoughts will come out with clarity. On this day, you will be able to see some new possibilities in your career, which will bring you hard work. Mutual understanding and harmony will increase your relationship, which will create a happy atmosphere among the family. This is a great time to express your thoughts clearly, so do not hesitate to communicate with your partner or friends. It is important to be health conscious, a little exercise and meditation will maintain your mental and physical health. Overall, this day will bring activity and positivity for you, so make the most of all the opportunities!

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Cancer

Ganesha says it will be a day of information and communication for you. Your mind will be full of ideas and you will be able to express your ideas well. There is a possibility of some new opportunities in professional life, which can prove beneficial for you. It is a good time to strengthen relationships with your colleagues, so work together at the workplace. Your emotional state will also be strong. Time spent with family will give you satisfaction. If you have any old problem going on, then the right time is coming to solve it. However, you need to keep your emotions under control, so that you do not get agitated over small things. In terms of health, try to practice yoga and meditation. It will empower you both mentally and physically. Take informed decisions in financial matters; do not rush into any investments. In summary, this day will be all about communication and cooperation, which will lead to positive changes for you.

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Gemini

Ganesha says there will be a new energy and freshness in your thoughts, which will make your personality even more attractive. Social contacts are likely to increase, which will expand your network. You will be inspired to spend blissful time with your friends and family. Some positive changes can also be seen in the business sector. The results of your hard work will gradually start coming, and this will motivate you to move forward. Keep in mind that while sharing your ideology, work with empathy, this will strengthen your relationship with colleagues. It is important to be health conscious. A little attention and relaxation will give you mental freshness. Practicing yoga or meditation will be beneficial for you. This day will be full of positivity and new possibilities for you. Express your mind openly and do not hesitate to adopt new ideas.

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Taurus

Ganesha says it will prove to be a positive day for you, Taurus. You will feel energetic and full of confidence. The time has come to reap the fruits of your hard work and efforts. The workload may stress you for a while, but you will face all the challenges recognizing your strengths. Sweetness will also remain in your relationships. Spending time with your family and friends will be a source of joy for you. Conversation with someone special can give you a new vision and promote mutual understanding. A special occasion may be organized among friends or family, which will bring happiness and harmony to you. Moments spent with loved ones will give you mental peace. It is important to be health conscious. A little exercise or yoga will give peace to your mind and energy to your body. Your day will be full of happiness and positivity, just keep your thoughts and emotions balanced.

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03-06-2026